Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $68,512 at 19 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $72,429 at 20 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTC.
3. r = 72429.27 / 68511.94 − 1 = +5.72%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -5.72% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology