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Mainnet trading opens after on-chain activation and launch checks. Testnet uses test USDC on Base Sepolia; test tokens have no monetary value. Real-money rounds will carry their own terms and risks. Arena is not available to US persons. Questions: legal@rafa.ai

RAFA · Public calls. Verifiable outcomes.

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Leaderboard / @Nebraskangooner / 2090075369030156753:memecoin:$SPOT

Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 19 Aug 2026, 13:56 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC

Ne

Nebraskangooner

@Nebraskangooner

$SPOT Looking interesting here for a pump pending today's close up around this level https://t.co/3b8I0OtPHq

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first $SPOT price at or after publication, $0.2066 at 19 Aug 2026, 13:56 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $0.2219 at 20 Aug 2026, 13:56 UTC.
r = 0.221920608460134 / 0.206589137137073 − 1 = +7.4%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +7.4% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Memecoins: $SPOT ($SPOT)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (stated in post)
Evidence span: “$SPOT”
Confidence: 97%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status: correct

Baseline price

$0.2066

Evaluation price

$0.2219

Move

+7.4%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

geckoterminal

Evaluated at

10 Nov 2026, 20:13 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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