Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 18 Aug 2026, 23:49 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:59 UTC

SalsaTekila

@SalsaTekila

In reply to · 18 Aug 2026, 23:18 UTC · context given to the AI

@ChaCha2xs That was 2 years ago pal As many know, I bought ETH in September 2015. Needless to say, I have fully exited

@Evan_ss6 @ChaCha2xs Buy back now broski going to ATH

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,917 at 19 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,252 at 20 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTC.
r = 2251.68 / 1916.76 − 1 = +17.5%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +17.5% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time