Loading…

Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 18 Aug 2026, 22:15 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC

Nebraskangooner

@Nebraskangooner

$ETHFI (per request) This chart looks slightly intriguing but at the same time when you zoom out to monthly chart it's still completely dead. So I'd give this a 20% chance at upside continuation and an 80% chance at this being a deviation above 99smma before nuking lower. https://t.co/bt6rFiLPAt

View original on X ↗

How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first $ETHFI price at or after publication, $0.4824 at 18 Aug 2026, 23:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $0.5164 at 19 Aug 2026, 23:00 UTC.
r = 0.516407892686281 / 0.482395762803603 − 1 = +7.1%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -7.1% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Memecoins: $ETHFI ($ETHFI)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$ETHFI (per request)”
Confidence: 94%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

Prediction evidence

Source post

How this was scored

AI interpretation

Outcome record

Request a correction