Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 18 Aug 2026, 22:12 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:56 UTC

Ivan on Tech 🍳 Founder @ Bullmania

@IvanOnTech

Quoting · 9 Oct 2025, 17:38 UTC · context given to the AI

GOOD EVENING CRYPTO!!! 🌕🌙🍵🫖 As I said in the stream yesterday 8th of October and Today - I AM NOT A FAN OF THE BITCOIN FAKE OUT!! Money Line on daily turned bearish after the fakeout BEAR RISK IS INCREASED 🚨🚨🚨 MOST PEOPLE ARE COMPLACENT RT IF YOU UNDERSTAND

I called the top on October 8th Exited crypto fully in October Now I’m buying back with DCA bitcoin:native will go very high $300,000 is my target RT if you agree https://t.co/AOtHSjsxDl

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Same 24h episode

Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post

“BITCOIN: GOD CANDLES COMING!!! 🚨🚨🚨, (FOR TRUE LOVERS ONLY: if you love the show follow @IvanOnTechClips for daily clips with highlights from the stream) 00:00 Intro - BTC showing something beautiful 00:10 BTC weekly chart - When we flip bullish god candles start 01:12 When BTC flips bullish we go bullish on Alt coins 01:35 Peter Schiff not happy - Why did it not sell off today? 02:28 US Stock market bullish - EU coping hard. ECB warns for correction 03:10 Jane Street buying 360M of BTC ETFs 03:27 Kazachstan - No capital gains on BTC 03:48 MacQuarie - Sod 60 percent of BTC position. Not smart 04:22 Time to be bear was in October - Now time to be bullish 04:47 Suits selling - Not smart 05:39 BTC as 200 WMA is cheap - High demand. 06:04 BitBox hardware wallet vulnerability disclosed 08:15 Cryptofication of the entire stock market - Nasdaq on the blockchain coming 09:37 ECB - Stocks in a bubble 10:03 SP500 and NASDAQ at ATHs 10:21 Jane Street bought more MSTR - When BTC pumps, so will MSTR 11:49 MSTR dumping stocks heavily to prop up STRC - Market does not care 12:55 MSCI removal of MSTR would cause sell off 13:35 MSTR shareholders worry - Please ser mia familia 14:36 MSTR video - Shareholder worries. 219K goes to 60K 19:22 Video summary - HODL for the long term 20:00 Saylor response 21:39 Basically - The guy is a retardio 22:38 Nike stocks - Down a lot. Don't touch 23:13 Bullmania AI - Added reporting on your positions 25:04 Shout out to Bullmania - Big Profit raffle 26:09 Memory stocks 26:34 US treasury - Japan, China and UK all sold treasuries in June. FED will step in 27:14 Bessent - Regulatory framework for stablecoins coming 27:40 Ansem making moves - Ansem IO launchpad. 29:25 Ansem website explored - Broken pictures. DEV do something! 31:10 A rant on The index, Memecoins and PvP 31:48 z500 the first onchain index. Max extract is the goal 33:22 Watching the flywheel on Ansem 33:54 Imran - Why cryto trenches feel hatred 35:21 Imran - Farcaster was bad for ETH 36:04 Summary - Sideways for now. Valhalla coming 36:30 Shout out to Bullmania - Sign up for the newsletter 37:04 Q and A 37:10 About PvP 38:45 Q1: Yubikey compromised? 39:58 Q2: Why open source code for hardware wallet. AI will rekt it? 41:19 Q3: Homomorphic encryption? 45:38 Bullmania AI answer on open sourcing hardware wallet vs AI 50:06 Q4: Travelling with a ledger and recovery key puts you at double risk when travelling? 50:20 A rant on the Ledger necklace 52:20 Outro”Repeat

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “bitcoin:native will go very high $300,000 is my target RT if you agree https://t.co/AOtHSjsxDl”
Confidence: 97%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record