Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $64,158 at 18 Aug 2026, 14:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $64,965 at 19 Aug 2026, 14:00 UTC.
3. r = 64964.5 / 64158.17 − 1 = +1.3%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -1.3% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology