Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $64,162 at 18 Aug 2026, 13:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $64,830 at 19 Aug 2026, 13:00 UTC.
3. r = 64829.97 / 64161.67 − 1 = +1.04%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -1.04% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology