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Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 18 Aug 2026, 11:38 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 13:48 UTC

Ted

@TedPillows

$ETH made a new low in 2026, but ETH/BTC made a higher low. This means ETH outperformed BTC during a downtrend. Imagine the Ethereum rally during the Bitcoin uptrend. https://t.co/c6FLzgm26E

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Same 24h episode

Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post

“This level will be the confirmation that the $ETH bear market is over. A weekly close above $2,500 which will result in the reclaim of 200W SMA and 200W EMA. Once Ethereum does that, it won't drop towards a new low. https://t.co/2Uf2ls5XoL”Repeat18 Aug 2026, 09:15 UTC

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$ETH made a new low in 2026, but ETH/BTC made a higher low.”
Confidence: 98%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record