Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $64,277 at 17 Aug 2026, 18:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $64,630 at 18 Aug 2026, 18:00 UTC.
3. r = 64629.55 / 64276.81 − 1 = +0.5%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +0.5% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology