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Published 17 Aug 2026, 17:00 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:58 UTC
Merlijn The Trader
@MerlijnTrader
ETHEREUM IS AT $1,900 AND THIS IS THE SECOND TIME IT HAS RUN THIS EXACT SEQUENCE. 2018 top. Downtrend. Break. Then a long range that bored everyone out before the move started. 2021 top. Downtrend. Break in 2023. Then the range we are still sitting in. The range is not the failure. The range is the setup, and it is the part almost nobody holds through. I'm bidding $1,715 to $1,830, not the whole range. Lose $1,500 on a weekly close and this sequence is broken.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 1910.22 / 1907.18 − 1 = +0.2%d × r = +0.2% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correctOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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