Prediction evidence

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Sminston With 👁

@sminston_with

On February 5th Bitcoin hit its deepest 252 day z-score since January 2015, measured in dollars, in gold and against the S&P 500 all at ONCE. - - - Dollars -3.51 Gold -3.66 S&P 500 -3.97 Only one day in sixteen years was more stretched than that: January 14th, 2015. Which happened to be the exact day that cycle bottomed. 🧐 But the z-score is not the price low. It never has been. 2015: low came 0 days later 2018: 1 day later 2022: 146 days later 2026: 145 days later (so far) Our low so far is June 30th at $58,525, and we're 7.5% above it. The lag matches 2022 almost to the day. That gets me to about 70% the bottom is in. Not higher, because MVRV is 1.19 and every previous bottom printed under 1.00. Still some mixed signals out there, but evidence is mounting on bottom being in.📉