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Mainnet trading opens after on-chain activation and launch checks. Testnet uses test USDC on Base Sepolia; test tokens have no monetary value. Real-money rounds will carry their own terms and risks. Arena is not available to US persons. Questions: legal@rafa.ai

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Leaderboard / @CryptoGodJohn / 2089355002783334616:memecoin:$ANSEM

Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 17 Aug 2026, 14:13 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:57 UTC

Cr

John

@CryptoGodJohn

$ANSEM breaking out One of the easiest buy and holds in crypto https://t.co/LDsZPHqWub

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first $ANSEM price at or after publication, $0.2722 at 17 Aug 2026, 15:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $0.2585 at 18 Aug 2026, 15:00 UTC.
r = 0.2584755178291031 / 0.27220058080826853 − 1 = -5.0%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -5.0% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Memecoins: $ANSEM ($ANSEM)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$ANSEM breaking out”
Confidence: 92%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

incorrect

Baseline price

$0.2722

Evaluation price

$0.2585

Move

-5.0%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

geckoterminal

Evaluated at

10 Nov 2026, 20:13 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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