Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $63,246 at 17 Aug 2026, 10:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 7 days horizon, $77,541 at 24 Aug 2026, 10:00 UTC.
3. r = 77540.78 / 63246.21 − 1 = +22.6%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -22.6% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology