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Published 17 Aug 2026, 09:00 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:58 UTC
Merlijn The Trader
@MerlijnTrader
BITCOIN CLOSED THE WEEK AT $63,109 WITH RSI AT 39. IN NOVEMBER 2022 IT WAS 39 TOO. Same weekly timeframe. Same bullish divergence. Price making lower lows while RSI made higher lows, for months. 2022 resolved that at $15,500 and never printed it again. Bitcoin closed the week at $63,109, sitting in the same spot on the chart. The pattern's projection off that 2022 structure is a run above $110K. That is what the fractal did, not a promise. $58K weekly close and the fractal is dead.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 64105 / 63246.21 − 1 = +1.4%d × r = +1.4% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correctOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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