Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $63,074 at 16 Aug 2026, 19:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 7 days horizon, $77,339 at 23 Aug 2026, 19:00 UTC.
3. r = 77338.76 / 63074.3 − 1 = +22.62%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -22.62% against a neutral band of ±2.50% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology