Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $63,087 at 16 Aug 2026, 18:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $64,277 at 17 Aug 2026, 18:00 UTC.
3. r = 64276.81 / 63087.41 − 1 = +1.89%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -1.89% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology