Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $63,002 at 16 Aug 2026, 09:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 7 days horizon, $76,465 at 23 Aug 2026, 09:00 UTC.
3. r = 76464.94 / 63001.9 − 1 = +21.4%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -21.4% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology