Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $63,013 at 16 Aug 2026, 01:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $62,841 at 17 Aug 2026, 01:00 UTC.
3. r = 62840.55 / 63012.94 − 1 = -0.3%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.3% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology