Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $62,986 at 15 Aug 2026, 13:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $62,948 at 16 Aug 2026, 13:00 UTC.
3. r = 62947.99 / 62985.92 − 1 = -0.1%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.1% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology