Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,880 at 15 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,881 at 16 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTC.
3. r = 1880.88 / 1880.41 − 1 = +0.0%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -0.0% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology