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Leaderboard / @AshCrypto / 2088323172349481115:bitcoin

Prediction evidence

neutralPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 14 Aug 2026, 17:53 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:24 UTC

As

Ash Crypto

@AshCrypto

ETFs were delayed because institutions were loading up their bags. Bitcoin: Before ETF = $25k, After ETF = $125k CLARITY has been delayed because institutions are loading up now. Few understand this.

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $62,952 at 14 Aug 2026, 18:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $63,000 at 15 Aug 2026, 18:00 UTC.
r = 63000.35 / 62951.69 − 1 = +0.08%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +0.08% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → neutral

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “Bitcoin: Before ETF = $25k, After ETF = $125k”
Confidence: 78%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

neutral

Baseline price

$62,952

Evaluation price

$63,000

Move

+0.08%

Neutral threshold

±1.00%

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

20 Oct 2026, 14:56 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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