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Published 14 Aug 2026, 12:00 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:58 UTC
Merlijn The Trader
@MerlijnTrader
NO, BITCOIN AT $62K DOESN'T FEEL LIKE A BOTTOM. IT DIDN'T IN 2022 EITHER. The count started February 2. 144 days, three corrections, RSI rising while price fell. That sequence completed on June 26. Everything since is the base. Same shape as 2022, same count, same divergence. Bottoms are measured in days, not in feelings. Target: a new all-time high, $130K. Invalidation: $58K weekly close.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 62985.92 / 62661.84 − 1 = +0.5%d × r = +0.5% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correctOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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