Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $62,746 at 14 Aug 2026, 11:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $62,976 at 15 Aug 2026, 11:00 UTC.
3. r = 62976.03 / 62746.12 − 1 = +0.4%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -0.4% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology