Skip to content

Home Arena Leaderboard Token sale

Loading…

Public calls. Verifiable outcomes.

Methodology Docs Privacy Terms & risk X ↗

Leaderboard This week Head to head Get ranked Methodology Claim profile

Published scoresSign in with X

Leaderboard / @CryptoTony__ / 2088201714319155516:solana

Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 14 Aug 2026, 09:51 UTC · fetched 19 Oct 2026, 13:37 UTC

Cr

Crypto Tony

@CryptoTony__

$SOL / $USD - Update I am not sure if the dip we get that will be that deep, but pay attention if it does. Would be a very good long https://t.co/MhkePkbq5t

View original on X ↗

How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first SOL price at or after publication, $75.40 at 14 Aug 2026, 10:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $75.16 at 15 Aug 2026, 10:00 UTC.
r = 75.16 / 75.4 − 1 = -0.32%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.32% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Solana (SOL)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$SOL / $USD - Update”
Confidence: 91%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status: incorrect

Baseline price

$75.40

Evaluation price

$75.16

Move

-0.32%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

21 Oct 2026, 19:13 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

Request a correction

Think the interpretation or outcome is wrong? Sign in with X to request a correction, so reviewers know who is asking.

Sign in to request a correction