Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $62,724 at 14 Aug 2026, 10:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $62,959 at 15 Aug 2026, 10:00 UTC.
3. r = 62959.01 / 62723.64 − 1 = +0.38%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -0.38% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → neutral

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology