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Published 14 Aug 2026, 09:00 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:58 UTC
Merlijn The Trader
@MerlijnTrader
IN 2022 EVERYONE WANTED BITCOIN AT $12K. THEY'RE STILL WAITING. The low was $15,500. Off by 20%. Then Bitcoin broke $21K and the same accounts were still posting $12K targets. 2023 closed above $40K. The thesis flipped overnight. Suddenly it was $200K. Same people. Same accounts. Still never bought. The number in their head moved. Their position never did. That's the tell. A number you never act on isn't a level. It's permission to do nothing. Bitcoin is $62K today. Back at the old top again. The same crowd is waiting for $50K. Same 20%. Same story. I'm buying the zone I can see, not the one I'd prefer. Waiting for a number you invented is not a plan. $58K monthly close and I'm wrong.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Awaiting manual review
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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