Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $62,849 at 14 Aug 2026, 08:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $63,006 at 15 Aug 2026, 08:00 UTC.
3. r = 63005.66 / 62848.67 − 1 = +0.25%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -0.25% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology