Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $63,480 at 14 Aug 2026, 01:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $62,951 at 15 Aug 2026, 01:00 UTC.
3. r = 62950.72 / 63480.15 − 1 = -0.83%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.83% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology