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Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 13 Aug 2026, 23:26 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 13:33 UTC

Cheds Trading

@BigCheds

$BTC long legged doji at DSMA 50. Note candle body progression. Might see bounce to 64.2k region https://t.co/qCuszZutbt

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $63,425 at 14 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $62,975 at 15 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTC.
r = 62975.18 / 63425.35 − 1 = -0.7%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.7% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time