Published 13 Aug 2026, 16:55 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:58 UTC
Merlijn The Trader
@MerlijnTrader
Quoting · 13 Aug 2026, 16:30 UTC · context given to the AI
NEW: Kalshi perps trader "pogoburger" just opened a $1.4M short position on Bitcoin This trader will double their money if $BTC drops to $52,214 Liquidation price: $75,070 https://t.co/Gg6tdchJcm$BTC 4H same read as pogoburger. Added a short at 63.9K. Small size. Invalidation on a clean break above. Trend line broken, momentum flipping, and the top 5 Kalshi perp positions are 4 longs vs 1 short. When retail crowds one side, the other side usually pays. Target: 62K retest.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 63071.1 / 63094.67 − 1 = -0.0%d × r = +0.0% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correctOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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