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Published 13 Aug 2026, 16:17 UTC · fetched 19 Oct 2026, 13:37 UTC
Rekt Capital
@rektcapital
Quoting · 6 Jul 2026, 17:50 UTC · context given to the AI
#BTC Bitcoin is currently successfully retesting the 200-week SMA (orange) as support To reiterate the point from the previous post: The SMA could act as support in the short-term to enable limited upside relief this July before failing as support mid-term $BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/o4A9x9splx https://t.co/AzqEvvnIhg#BTC Bitcoin would enjoy aggressive buy-back at the 200-week SMA in July but that aggression is no longer evident this month Which ties in with what I mentioned 1.5 months ago: "The SMA could act as support in the short-term to enable limited upside relief this July before failing as support mid-term" Bitcoin indeed enjoyed support in the short-term from 200-week SMA in July but it appears that support is faltering this August $BTC #BitcoinView original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 77337.96 / 63094.67 − 1 = +22.57%d × r = -22.57% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrectOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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