Published 13 Aug 2026, 11:39 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:57 UTC
Killa
@KillaXBT
At some point in $BTC’s cycles, it has to behave differently. We’re not going to keep dipping below the previous ATH forever, diminishing cycle returns make that structurally unsustainable. If BTC kept repeating the same deep retracement pattern every cycle, it would eventually just flatten out and behave like a stablecoin. Eventually, the retracements will become much shallower. In this cycle, BTC has already deviated below its previous ATH zone, just like it did in 2022. And in 2022, once it broke below that level, it didn’t take long to mark the bottom. So why assume this time will be drastically different and that we’ll extend significantly deeper? That’s why buying now is essentially the same as buying around 20k last cycle, you’re accumulating in the same type of structural retracement, just at a higher baseline because the asset has matured.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Awaiting manual review
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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