Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $63,718 at 13 Aug 2026, 10:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $62,724 at 14 Aug 2026, 10:00 UTC.
3. r = 62723.64 / 63718.13 − 1 = -1.6%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +1.6% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology