Loading…
Published 13 Aug 2026, 09:00 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:58 UTC
Merlijn The Trader
@MerlijnTrader
YES, BITCOIN IS BORING. THE TEST IS SUPPOSED TO BE. Wyckoff accumulation runs in order. Spring sweeps the lows and clears the last sellers. Then the test comes back down, slowly, and dares everyone who bought the spring to give it up. 2022 ran that exact sequence before the SOS took price out of the range. Bitcoin printed its spring in July. The test is happening now, with price at $63,726. Lose $58K on a weekly close and the count is wrong. The test isn't a warning that it failed. It's the last part before it works.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 62723.64 / 63718.13 − 1 = -1.6%d × r = -1.6% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrectOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
Uses only text available at publication time
Think the interpretation or outcome is wrong? Sign in with X to request a correction, so reviewers know who is asking.
Sign in to request a correction