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Published 12 Aug 2026, 14:00 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:58 UTC
Merlijn The Trader
@MerlijnTrader
Quoting · 6 Aug 2026, 10:00 UTC · context given to the AI
HOW I'M TRADING THE 2026 BITCOIN BOTTOM. In 2022, day 179 after the breakdown gave one last move: A small leg down (A), a bounce that trapped buyers (B), then a flush below A (C). That C was the cycle low. Everything after was up. 2026 is on day 179. The A leg printed last week. B and C haven't. So I'm not chasing this bounce. My big long order sits at the C, into $61K, which is where I open a big long order Lose $58K on a weekly close and the whole count is wrong. The bottom isn't a price. It's a sequence, and it isn't finished.CPI WAS THE LAST EXCUSE FOR A BIG BITCOIN MOVE. IT CAME IN MIXED. That's not bearish. It's the setup I described last week playing out on schedule. A printed. B just finished, right where a bounce traps the people who thought the low was in. Price is at $63,893 and rolling. What's left is C, into $61K, and that's where my order sits. Lose $58K on a weekly close and the count is wrong. Slow chop in the range, one final flush, then it goes. Nothing about today changed that.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Awaiting manual review
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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