Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $63,731 at 12 Aug 2026, 09:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $63,709 at 13 Aug 2026, 09:00 UTC.
3. r = 63709.19 / 63730.97 − 1 = -0.03%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.03% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → neutral

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology