Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,861 at 11 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,891 at 12 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTC.
3. r = 1890.53 / 1861.2 − 1 = +1.6%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -1.6% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology