Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $64,244 at 11 Aug 2026, 10:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $64,052 at 12 Aug 2026, 10:00 UTC.
3. r = 64052.35 / 64244.21 − 1 = -0.3%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.3% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology