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Leaderboard / @BigCheds / 2086866139636801830:bitcoin

Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 10 Aug 2026, 17:23 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 13:33 UTC

Bi

Cheds Trading

@BigCheds

$BTC 4H now sell pressure into lower BB and loss of SMA 200 https://t.co/KNnt1rg1Ip

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $63,885 at 10 Aug 2026, 18:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 4 hours horizon, $63,910 at 10 Aug 2026, 22:00 UTC.
r = 63910.17 / 63884.98 − 1 = +0.0%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -0.0% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 4 hours (stated in post)
Evidence span: “$BTC 4H now sell pressure into lower BB and loss of SMA 200 https://t.co/KNnt1rg1Ip”
Confidence: 96%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

incorrect

Baseline price

$63,885

Evaluation price

$63,910

Move

+0.0%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

10 Nov 2026, 23:14 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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