Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 10 Aug 2026, 13:54 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:58 UTC

CryptoBullet

@CryptoBullet1

In reply to · 2 Aug 2026, 15:42 UTC · context given to the AI

$ETH 1D update 📉 😁 https://t.co/8Y9Asko4Nb

$ETH 1D update VWAP is rejecting the price again 🔨 https://t.co/7L1BmJn28R

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,896 at 10 Aug 2026, 14:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,888 at 11 Aug 2026, 14:00 UTC.
r = 1888.28 / 1895.7 − 1 = -0.4%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.4% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time