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Published 10 Aug 2026, 09:00 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:58 UTC
Merlijn The Trader
@MerlijnTrader
BITCOIN BEARS WILL TELL YOU TO WAIT FOR $50K. IF IT WAS THAT EASY, EVERYONE WOULD BE RICH. Bitcoin leaves a monthly fair value gap on the way up every cycle. Price comes back, fills it, and turns. 2014, 2018 and 2022 all did exactly that. The bottom of that gap sits at $55,232. That's the level, not some round number underneath it. Price is at $65,256, inside the fourth gap, with RSI on the same support level that marked the other three. $50K sits below the gap. The market has no reason to go get it.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 64244.21 / 64907.65 − 1 = -1.0%d × r = -1.0% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrectOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
Uses only text available at publication time
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