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Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 10 Aug 2026, 08:06 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:54 UTC

DonAlt

@DonAlt

$BTC This looks like it wants to explode Tiny push and this garbage resistance finally goes and we teleport to the next one https://t.co/1zX6twh27p

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $65,186 at 10 Aug 2026, 09:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $64,074 at 11 Aug 2026, 09:00 UTC.
r = 64073.86 / 65186.44 − 1 = -1.7%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -1.7% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time