Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $65,147 at 9 Aug 2026, 19:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $63,816 at 10 Aug 2026, 19:00 UTC.
3. r = 63815.91 / 65147.12 − 1 = -2.0%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +2.0% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology