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Published 9 Aug 2026, 17:15 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 13:48 UTC
Tone Vays
@ToneVays
In reply to · 9 Aug 2026, 17:03 UTC · context given to the AI
@ToneVays @ocean_mining If bitcoin breaks out bullish is it because clarity or bip110 failed?I really don't think Clarity matters all that much.... My top reasons in order are: - 4 year cycle times the bear market ending in Sep-Nov - Price had a 60% correction - we had multiple capitulation events at the low between MSTR selling, Exchange Closing, wallet hacks, etc - Bip110 DOA - Clarity Act passing will just help push the bull market faster if it passes.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 63884.98 / 65142 − 1 = -1.9%d × r = -1.9% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrectOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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