Loading…

Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 9 Aug 2026, 11:28 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 13:48 UTC

Ted

@TedPillows

$BTC is still holding above its uptrend. As long as $63,000 is not lost, Bitcoin has a decent chance of pumping from here. https://t.co/zNErJuOghQ

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $64,898 at 9 Aug 2026, 12:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $65,069 at 10 Aug 2026, 12:00 UTC.
r = 65069.45 / 64898.44 − 1 = +0.3%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +0.3% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time