Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 9 Aug 2026, 08:12 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:56 UTC

Ivan on Tech 🍳 Founder @ Bullmania

@IvanOnTech

Quoting · 8 Aug 2026, 21:37 UTC · context given to the AI

JUST IN: Berkshire Hathaway begins deploying Warren Buffet’s $365,000,000,000.00 cash pile under new CEO Greg Abel.

WARREN BUFFET NOW AGGRESSIVELY BUYING STOCKS!!! Bullish for stocks, bullish for Bitcoin Next leg up for all financial markets starting SP500 ATH 🚀🚀🚀 https://t.co/GruAEOdMuy

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $64,770 at 9 Aug 2026, 09:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $65,186 at 10 Aug 2026, 09:00 UTC.
r = 65186.44 / 64770.06 − 1 = +0.6%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +0.6% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “Bullish for stocks, bullish for Bitcoin Next leg up for all financial markets starting SP500 ATH 🚀🚀🚀 https://t.co/GruAEOdMuy”
Confidence: 99%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Prediction evidence

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