Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,915 at 9 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,909 at 10 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTC.
3. r = 1909.18 / 1915.37 − 1 = -0.32%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.32% against a neutral band of ±1.25% → neutral

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology