Skip to content

Home Arena Leaderboard Token sale

Loading…

Public calls. Verifiable outcomes.

Methodology Docs Privacy Terms & risk X ↗

Leaderboard This week Head to head Get ranked Methodology Claim profile

Published scoresSign in with X

Leaderboard / @CryptoMichNL / 2086152209260028330:ethereum

Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 8 Aug 2026, 18:07 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC

Cr

Michaël van de Poppe

@CryptoMichNL

It's only a matter of time until $ETH breaks upwards. https://t.co/Kn3CeAh99S

View original on X ↗

How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,920 at 8 Aug 2026, 19:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,920 at 9 Aug 2026, 19:00 UTC.
r = 1920.13 / 1920.1 − 1 = +0.00%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +0.00% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “It's only a matter of time until $ETH breaks upwards.”
Confidence: 100%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

correct

Baseline price

$1,920

Evaluation price

$1,920

Move

+0.00%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

21 Oct 2026, 21:13 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

Request a correction

Think the interpretation or outcome is wrong? Sign in with X to request a correction, so reviewers know who is asking.

Sign in to request a correction