Published 8 Aug 2026, 09:47 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:17 UTC
Kayne (formerly Penguin)
@ThePenguinXBT
$ETH looking considerably more bullish on the H4/D🧪 I was 50/50 on whether the move from the 6 June low was simply a corrective flat. The recent local three-wave move down shifts the odds: - Wave 1 now looks more likely to be a genuine 1, not a C, with wave 2 currently resolving. Two paths: -Take the high first, then reject. - Reject from here. Either way, I want a bearish market-structure break before looking short, with $1,800 still the area I’d watch for the long. Straight up from here is possible, but it’s not my base case.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Awaiting manual review
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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