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Leaderboard / @CryptoTony__ / 2085729675415077016:bitcoin

Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 7 Aug 2026, 14:08 UTC · fetched 19 Oct 2026, 13:37 UTC

Cr

Crypto Tony

@CryptoTony__

Bitcoin and CT is a ghost town right now. This only presents good opportunities to accumulate and build positions, before the stock bros come back in Who is with me ?

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $64,907 at 7 Aug 2026, 15:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $65,083 at 8 Aug 2026, 15:00 UTC.
r = 65082.74 / 64906.86 − 1 = +0.27%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +0.27% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “Bitcoin and CT is a ghost town right now.”
Confidence: 84%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

correct

Baseline price

$64,907

Evaluation price

$65,083

Move

+0.27%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

21 Oct 2026, 21:13 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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